An United States military war simulation has predicted that an Israeli strike on Iran would start a full-scale regional war and have disastrous consequences. According to the simulation, the U.S. would be “pulled into the conflict”, in much the same way, I imagine, as they were ‘pulled’ into the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Actually, in this simulated scenario, Iran sunk a U.S. navy warship in the Persian, which of course was an unprovoked attack, since the warship was just, um, defending the U.S.’s right to control a small sea it has no territory on nor any legitimate claim to. But that’s not the point. The point is that they are absolutely right, an Israeli strike would have horrible and far-reaching consequences, especially with the U.S. butting in to the conflict, as it surely will. Let’s explore some of the reasons why a strike would occur:
1. Israel feels threatened by Iran’s nuclear program
The Israeli government feels threatened by Iran’s nuclear program, and worries that Iran could even launch a nuclear strike against Israel. This is not just paranoia; Iran and Israel are long-time enemies. Israel wants to stop Iran’s nuclear program at all costs, even by using a nuclear weapon of its own, which it is widely believed to have, though the government has not officially acknowledged that it has a nuclear arsenal.
2. Any strike would be backed by the U.S.
United States President Barack Obama has supported Israel in the diplomacy drama with Iran over Iran’s nuclear weapons program, and it is likely that he will continue to support Israel, even if Israel attacks Iran. If President Obama loses the presidential elections this November, he will lose to Mitt Romney, whose foreign policy advisor Dan Senor has said that Mr. Romney would back Israel in a strike against Iran. So whoever wins the election, Israel would be backed by the world’s most powerful military.
3. Netanyahu is an idiot
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is a jingoistic idiot.
Now let’s look at some of the consequences of an attack:
1. Arab countries would help Iran
Non of Israel’s neighboring Arab countries are friends of theirs, in fact, they are all enemies except Jordan and Egypt, who have signed peace agreements with Israel. Therefor it is extremely likely, given the long history of Israeli-Arab wars, that the Arab countries of the Middle East and North Africa would rush to assist Iran.
2. The U.S. would drag NATO into the mess
The U.S. would bring its puppet organization, NATO, into the war, causing the already fragile economies of Europe to collapse as their governments spend all their money on a needless war they have no reason to be involved in.
3. Many people would die
This one’s a little obvious, but its important. Do we really need another war? What are Netanyahu, Obama, Romney, and Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad thinking? Hopefully they will come to their senses eventually and find a way to sort out their differences peacefully.